[Debate] (Fwd) Is Swazi loan a done deal?

t d dlaminitm at yahoo.ca
Sat Aug 27 13:19:20 BST 2011


Patrick, what's this "complicated politics"?

and what was it that you were thinking when you wrote about "militant civil servants"  - what were/are the options you're alluding to?




--- On Fri, 8/12/11, Patrick Bond <pbond at mail.ngo.za> wrote:

From: Patrick Bond <pbond at mail.ngo.za>
Subject: [Debate] (Fwd) Is Swazi loan a done deal?
To: "DEBATE" <debate-list at fahamu.org>
Received: Friday, August 12, 2011, 3:05 AM



  

    
  (Not if the article below is correct - still time for militant Swazi
    civil servants to prevent Mswati from getting a bailout, but it'll
    be complicated politics...)

    

    -------- Original Message --------
    
      
        
          Subject: 
          [Swazi newsletter] Swaziland Newsletter
        
        
          Date: 
          Thu, 11 Aug 2011 23:55:42 -0700 (PDT)
        
        
          From: 
          Richard Rooney <swazimedia at yahoo.com>
        
        
          Reply-To:
          
          Richard Rooney <swazimedia at yahoo.com>
        
        
          To: 
          SAK <SAK-Swazinewsletter at yahoogroups.co.uk>
        
      
    
    

    

     
    
    
      
        
        
          
            
            
            Swaziland Newsletter
                12 August 2011 

              
            

              
            News from and about
              Swaziland, compiled by
              Africa Contact  (Denmark)
              in
              collaboration with Swazi Media Commentary  (www.swazimedia.blogspot.com),
              and
              sent to all with an interest in Swaziland
              - free of charge.
             
            Thursday, 11 August
                  2011
            

                
            ANC LEADER CALLS FOR
                  SWAZI REFORM 

                
            

                
            New Age, South Africa 

              
            

              
            11 August
                2011
            

              
            http://thenewage.co.za/blogdetail.aspx?mid=186&blog_id=%201047
            

                
              
            Mantashe calls for
                  reform in
                  Swaziland 

                

              
            By Eric
                Naki 

                

                ANC secretary-general Gwede Mantashe might be the first
                top leader of the
                ruling party in South Africa to express a clear public
                view on the seemingly
                untouchable political situation in Swaziland. 

                

                He was quoted as saying our neighbour, the landlocked
                kingdom, must allow
                multi-party democracy or unban political parties. Could
                Mantashe’s public
                pronouncement reflect the thinking within the top
                echelons of the ANC or was
                his a voice in the wilderness? The former must be true,
                I contend. 

                

                Holding a post that is traditionally highly regarded as
                being an “engine” of
                the movement for the power it carries, his could not be
                just a lone voice.
                Whether Mantashe was saying this as the ANC
                secretary-general or was using his
                position as chairperson of the SACP, whose position is
                clear toward repression
                in this, Africa’s only remaining absolute monarchy, I
                have no idea. 

                

                Mantashe is most likely reflecting the inner thinking
                and the fermenting
                discourse at the top level of the ANC. Especially coming
                on the heels of the controversial
                R2.4bn loan by the South African government to
                Swaziland, this strong statement
                tells us the ANC would like to get value for the money
                that went to Mbabane. 

                

                That value of the money (whether taken from taxpayers or
                from the coffers of
                Reserve Bank matters not) should be the ushering in of
                democracy in Swaziland,
                where political parties remain banned and political
                activism restricted since
                the reign of King Sobhuza II, the late father of King
                Mswati III. 

                

                The country is ruled by a no-party Tinkhundla royal
                political system headed by
                the king. 

                

                That senior leaders like Mantashe are now breaching the
                diplomatic protocol of
                not interfering in the internal affairs of another state
                is indicative of
                thinning patience by Luthuli House towards the political
                stagnation in
                Swaziland. 

                

                The loan provides an excuse for some to come out of the
                closet and express
                their “rebel” viewpoints on the uncharted waters of the
                Swazi Tinkhundla
                dictatorship. 

                

                It is important to note that the ANC was alone in
                turning a blind eye to the
                repression inflicted by the Mswati leadership in
                Swaziland, as its alliance
                partners, Cosatu and the SACP, long have taken an
                unequivocal stand that
                Swaziland must permit free political activism or must
                face isolation by South
                Africa, the SADC, African Union and the international
                community. 

                

                Our left-wing activists working alongside Swazi
                activists in exile here staged
                several border blockades in solidarity with the
                oppressed Swazi masses, and
                many Cosatu leaders were detained and deported and
                declared as a nuisance and
                interfering in that country’s internal affairs by the
                Mswati regime in the
                process. 

                

                The situation in Swaziland is dire, make no mistake, but
                the response of our
                political fathers in SADC and AU has been muted, with
                Mswati even being trusted
                to lead the SADC troika on politics, defence and
                security. 

                

                Across that border, opponents of the regime are daily
                subjected to
                apartheid-style arbitrary detentions, harassment,
                disappearances, mysterious
                deaths, arrests and torture of leaders who face trumped
                up charges,
                particularly those from the People’s United Democratic
                Movement (Pudemo), with
                its president, Mario Masuku, going in and out of jail. 

                

                The president of the Swaziland Youth Congress, Bheki
                Dlamini, is in jail while
                many political activists and opposition members are
                living in exile in South
                Africa and other neighbouring countries. 

                

                Recently civil servants rose up to demand better wages
                and free political
                activity. Such pro-democracy protests often result in
                intensification of
                repression by Swazi authorities against their organisers
                and leaders. 

                

                If South Africa fails to act to normalise the situation
                in Swaziland, we will
                find ourselves with another Zimbabwe in our hands – a
                never-ending exodus into
                this country of illegal economic immigrants, the
                majority of whom do not
                benefit this country’s economy but become a burden to
                its social security
                system and job market. 

                

                Unless Pretoria acts on Swaziland and helps to free its
                people from the yoke
                Mswati perennially puts on their necks, we will be
                forced to cough up more
                money to bail out a failing economy and prop up an
                oppressive regime next door.
                

                

                While the conditions attached to the R2.4bn loan to
                Swaziland are vague, with
                only a call for “political reforms” there is hope that
                influential voices are
                emerging to speak out against the lack of democracy in
                that country. 

                

                Luthuli House is better placed to influence the South
                African government’s new
                approach, which could help usher democracy in Swaziland.
                

                

                We need to watch what Mantashe’s pronouncement on
                Swaziland will precipitate in
                the short to medium term. With any of our neighbouring
                states unfree, we cannot
                enjoy our hard-won freedom in South Africa. 
             
            Tuesday, 9 August 2011
            

                
            MONEY CUT SO UNISWA
                  STAYS CLOSED 

                
            

                
            The
                University of Swaziland (Uniswa) has closed indefinitely
                because the Swazi
                Government has run out of money. 

              
            

              
            Government
                has said it can only afford to award scholarships to a
                maximum 500 students,
                although the university has offered places to 2,155. In
                recent years about
                1,200 scholarships were awarded, according to figures
                  published by
                the Weekend Observer newspaper. 

              
            

              
            Uniswa
                announced on Friday (5 August 2011) that it would not
                open for the new academic
                year as planned this week. Instead opening has been
                postponed indefinitely
                until the government sorts out the scholarship issue.
            

              
            It is
                understood that the Swazi Government will discuss the
                closure at a cabinet
                meeting today (9 August 2011).
            

              
            An
                unconfirmed report suggested that a major factor in
                Uniswa’s decision not to
                open was the fear that students would ‘riot’ as a
                protest against scholarship
                cuts.
            News that
                the number of scholarships available at Uniswa is to be
                slashed comes months
                after the Swazi Government awarded 800 scholarships
                worth about E16 million
                (US$2 million) a year for students to study at the
                private Limkokwing
                University that opened in Mbabane, Swaziland’s capital,
                in May this year. 

              
            

              
            Limkokwing
has
                  been criticised across Africa for the poor quality
                of its courses and
                staff and has been subjected to numerous protests by its
                students demanding
                value for money in their education. 

              
            

              
            See also
            

              
            SWAZI
                UNIVERSITIES LACK RELEVANCE
            http://swazimedia.blogspot.com/2011/02/swazi-universities-lack-relevance.html
            

                
            NEW SWAZI
                UNIVERSITY SUBSTANDARD
            http://swazimedia.blogspot.com/2011/02/new-swazi-university-substandard.html
              
             
            Tuesday, 9 August 2011
            

                
            DOUBTS OVER SWAZI LOAN
                  BAILOUT 

                
            

                
            Although
                South Africa has pledged to give Swaziland a loan of up
                to R2.4 billion (US$354
                million) will King Mswati III’s kingdom, actually
                receive the money? 

              
            

              
            When it
                made its loan
                  announcement on 3 August 2011, the South African
                Treasury said was a
                ‘conditional guarantee’ only.
            

              
            Among the
                conditions were that Swaziland meets the technical and
                fiscal reforms required
                by the International Monetary Fund (IMF).
            

              
            But, as
                we all know, Swaziland has failed to meet the IMF
                requirements. Simply put, the
                IMF wants to see an increase in government revenue
                (through taxes, mainly) and
                a decrease in public spending (by reducing the salary
                bill for public service
                workers).
            

              
            The Swazi
                Government, handpicked by King Mswati, sub-Saharan
                Africa’s last absolute
                monarch, failed to make much headway in either of these.
                Public sector workers,
                most notably the teachers, have had a series of work
                stoppages against the
                proposed measures and are threatening all-out protests
                if their salaries are
                cut, or if teachers are retrenched.
            

              
            It was
                because of the government’s failure to control income
                and expenditure that the
                IMF did not issue its so-called ‘letter of comfort’ that
                would have supported
                Swaziland’s bid to get a loan from the African
                Development Bank (AfDB). 

              
            

              
            And
                because it was unable to secure the AfDB loan, the Swazi
                Government went
                begging to South Africa.
            

              
            Now, the
                South African Treasury has stated it will grant a R2.4
                billion loan in three
                stages, starting this month (August 2011) once ‘the
                negotiations with the
                relevant parties have been finalised’.
            

              
            That
                surely means, once South Africa is satisfied that
                Swaziland has got control of
                its finances. But, as things stand, with no agreement on
                salary cuts, that
                control is not there.
            

              
            So what
                happens next? If, as seems likely, the Swazi Government
                fails to get an
                immediate agreement on cuts, it will not have met a
                major requirement for the
                loan. South Africa will then have to decide whether to
                grant the loan anyway.
                There are growing fears in South Africa that unless
                something is done about
                Swaziland without delay it will become an economic
                basket case like Zimbabwe and
                will be a massive drain on the whole Southern Africa
                region.
            

              
            Because
                of that the loan may be given even without the cuts. But
                it will only delay by
                a few months the meltdown of the Swazi economy. The loan
                of R2.4 billion is
                roughly the equivalent of five months government
                spending in Swaziland. Chicken
                feed.
            

              
            Here is
                the list of fiscal measures the South African Government
                wants to see Swaziland
                make. Decide for yourself whether you think King
                Mswati’s boys will be able to
                deliver.
            

              
            Table in
                parliament the Public Finance Management Bill by October
                2011;
            

              
            Implement
                the Fiscal Adjustments Roadmap [the plan Swaziland gave
                to the IMF to save the
                economy] by February 2012;
            Protect
                the peg between the lilangeni and rand;
            Agree on
                priority spending programmes as contained in the Staff
                Monitored Programme that
                was agreed between the Government of the Kingdom of
                Swaziland and the
                International Monitory Fund; and
            Implement
                acceptable financial reporting and finalise and
                implement an auditing bill.
            

              
            See also
            

              
            S AFRICA
                SETS OUT LOAN CONDITIONS
            http://swazimedia.blogspot.com/2011/08/s-africa-sets-out-loan-conditions.html
             
            Monday, 8 August 2011
            

                
            FREE SWAZI POLITICAL
                  PRISONERS 

                
            

                
            Communist
                Party Swaziland 

              
            

              
            Statement
            

              
            7 August
                2011
            

              
            THE BREAK CHAINS 

                
            

              
            Campaign for the
                  release of all
                  political prisoners and detainees in Swaziland 
            Release all political
                  prisoners
                  in Swaziland now! 

                
            

              
            The
                Tinkhundla regime of king Mswati III currently holds
                five political
                prisoners/detainees. These courageous freedom fighters
                are imprisoned by the
                regime simply because they have been part of the
                struggle for democracy, human
                rights and social and economic progress for the people
                of Swaziland. We demand
                their unconditional release and that this is a step
                toward the unbanning of all
                political parties and organisations and safe return of
                all exiles. 

              
            

              
            BREAK THE
                CHAINS demands the release of: 
            1. Amos
                Mbedze - A South African, member of the ANC, SACP,
                Umkhonto Wesizwe) arrested
                in 2008, denied bail; still on trial since 2010. 
            2. Bheki
                Dlamini - SWAYOCO PRESIDENT: arrested in 2010, denied
                bail, no trial. 
            3. Zonke
                Dlamini - SWAYOCO LEADER: arrested in 2010; denied bail,
                no trial since
                arrested. 
            4.
                Maxwell Dlamini - SNUS PRESIDENT: arrested in 2011;
                denied bail, no trial since
                arrest. 
            5. Musa
                Ngubeni – FORMER STUDENT LEADER: arrested in April 2011,
                denied bailed, no
                trial since arrest. 

              
            

              
            These
                activists and leaders have been routinely tortured and
                denied access to family
                and friends. Their health is deteriorating each day and
                they are denied proper
                medical assistance. They are held on trumped up charges
                because the regime
                considers their activism for democracy and freedom a
                danger to Mswati’s rule.
                The rule of law protects only the select few in
                Swaziland. Our comrades held
                prisoner by the regime have no rights. 

              
            

              
            The BREAK
                THE CHAINS campaign calls for the unconditional release
                of all political
                prisoners in Swaziland and for concerted action to
                prevent the incarceration of
                more detainees as the struggle for democracy and freedom
                increases. 

              
            

              
            The Swazi
                regime denies that it has political prisoners. It also
                denies that there are
                Swazi political exiles living outside the country. The
                regime lies continuously
                and blatantly in an effort to appear reasonable and
                fair. But the regime
                presides over the constant oppression of the Swazi
                people though enforced
                poverty and degradation and the denial of democratic,
                social and economic
                rights. Those who have campaigned against this vile
                injustice are persecuted by
                the Mswati regime. 

              
            

              
            BREAK THE
                CHAINS calls on all progressive organisations and
                individuals in Swaziland and
                beyond to add their voice to the demand the release of
                Swaziland’s political
                prisoners. 

              
            

              
            This must
                be a first step to the unbanning of all organizations
                and parties in Swaziland
                and firm guarantees on the right of the people to free
                assembly, and the
                guaranteed safe return of exiles. 

              
            

              
            Support
                BREAK THE CHAINS 

              
            

              
            We urge
                you to: 
            Send
                demands to the Swazi government and the king calling for
                the immediate release
                of Amos Mbedze, Bheki Dlamini, Zonke Dlamini, Maxwell
                Dlamini and Musa Ngubeni.
              
            Raise
                awareness on the issue of Swaziland’s political
                prisoners by spreading news of
                the campaign for their release. 
            Raise the
                issue in your community, trade union branch, Church
                group, and among your
                neighbours and friends. 
            If you
                are outside Swaziland: 
            Issue
                calls to Swazi diplomatic missions for the release of
                political prisoners. 
            Demand
                the boycott of Swaziland by the government of the
                country in which you reside
                until all political prisoners are released. 
            Get your
                organisation / political party to join the campaign 

              
            

              
            The BREAK
                THE CHAINS campaign is being run by the Communist Party
                of Swaziland as an open
                campaign forum that all organisations and individuals
                are invited to join
                regardless of their political affiliation. 

              
            

              
            See also
            

              
            MAXWELL
                DLAMINI ‘SUFFERS STROKE’
            http://swazimedia.blogspot.com/2011/07/maxwell-dlamini-suffers-stroke.html
             
            Sunday, 7 August 2011
            EU TELLS
                SWAZI KING 'MAKE CHANGES' 
            The
                European Union (EU) has told Swaziland’s King Mswati III
                he should take the
                lead in moving the kingdom to democracy.
            

              
            An EU
                delegation in Swaziland has backed the Phadimisa
                Bokamoso ba Africa- led
                campaign for full democracy in the kingdom, ruled by
                King Mswati, sub-Saharan
                Africa’s last absolute monarch.
            

              
            King
                Mswati snubbed
a
                  three-day convention on democracy held in
                Swaziland last weekend (29 – 31
                July 2011).
            

              
            Amadou
                Traoré, EU Chargé d’Affaires to Swaziland, said EU fully
                supported the process
                that led to political talks on Swaziland facilitated by
                Phadimisa Bokamoso ba
                Africa.
            

              
            Traore
                said the EU delegation would take civil society
                organisations’ demand for
                dialogue, as requested, to the Swazi Government. 

              
            

              
            ‘But
                these discussions you are calling for on the future of
                your country must be an
                only Swazi affair. It is not for any foreign individual
                or organisation to
                interfere in this process. 

              
            

              
            This
                is your country; the EU cannot and will not do the work
                for you or in your
                place,’ the Times
                    of Swaziland reported him
                saying.
            

              
            Traoré
                said civil society organisations needed to convince
                their authorities the time
                for building a new Swaziland had indeed come. He said
                the advances contained in
                the Constitution on the freedom of association and the
                bill of rights, just to
                name a few provisions, should be fully implemented, the
                Times reported.
            

              
            ‘But
                more importantly you also need to convince your fellow
                citizens that this is
                the only way forward in a rapidly changing continent
                where people from Morocco
                to Egypt and youths from Senegal to Malawi are taking to
                the streets to defend
                their democratic rights to have more say in the running
                of their countries,’ he
                said.
            

              
            See
                also
            

              
            DEMOCRATIC
                SWAZILAND CONVENTION
            http://swazimedia.blogspot.com/2011/07/democratic-swaziland-convention.html
             
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