[DEBATE] : (Fwd) Naomi Klein on Latin Am. anti-imperialism
Patrick Bond
pbond at mail.ngo.za
Tue Nov 13 23:04:43 GMT 2007
Latin America's Shock Resistance
By Naomi Klein
13 November 2007
In less than two years, the lease on the largest and most important US
military base in Latin America will run out. The base is in Manta,
Ecuador, and Rafael Correa, the country’s leftist president, has
pronounced that he will renew the lease “on one condition: that they let
us put a base in Miami–an Ecuadorean base. If there is no problem having
foreign soldiers on a country’s soil, surely they’ll let us have an
Ecuadorean base in the United States.”
Since an Ecuadorean military outpost in South Beach is a long shot, it
is very likely that the Manta base, which serves as a staging area for
the “war on drugs,” will soon shut down. Correa’s defiant stand is not,
as some have claimed, about anti-Americanism. Rather, it is part of a
broad range of measures being taken by Latin American governments to
make the continent less vulnerable to externally provoked crises and shocks.
This is a crucial development because for the past thirty-five years in
Latin America, such shocks from outside have served to create the
political conditions required to justify the imposition of “shock
therapy”–the constellation of corporate-friendly “emergency” economic
measures like large-scale privatizations and deep cuts to social
spending that debilitate the state in the name of free markets. In one
of his most influential essays, the late economist Milton Friedman
articulated contemporary capitalism’s core tactical nostrum, what I call
the shock doctrine. He observed that “only a crisis–actual or
perceived–produces real change. When that crisis occurs, the actions
that are taken depend on the ideas that are lying around.”
Latin America has always been the prime laboratory for this doctrine.
Friedman first learned how to exploit a large-scale crisis in the
mid-1970s, when he advised Chilean dictator Gen. Augusto Pinochet. Not
only were Chileans in a state of shock following Pinochet’s violent
overthrow of Socialist President Salvador Allende; the country was also
reeling from severe hyperinflation. Friedman advised Pinochet to impose
a rapid-fire transformation of the economy–tax cuts, free trade,
privatized services, cuts to social spending and deregulation. It was
the most extreme capitalist makeover ever attempted, and it became known
as a Chicago School revolution, since so many of Pinochet’s top aides
and ministers had studied under Friedman at the University of Chicago. A
similar process was under way in Uruguay and Brazil, also with the help
of University of Chicago graduates and professors, and a few years
later, in Argentina. These economic shock therapy programs were
facilitated by far less metaphorical shocks–performed in the region’s
many torture cells, often by US-trained soldiers and police, and
directed against those activists who were deemed most likely to stand in
the way of the economic revolution.
In the 1980s and ’90s, as dictatorships gave way to fragile democracies,
Latin America did not escape the shock doctrine. Instead, new shocks
prepared the ground for another round of shock therapy–the “debt shock”
of the early ’80s, followed by a wave of hyperinflation as well as
sudden drops in the prices of commodities on which economies depended.
In Latin America today, however, new crises are being repelled and old
shocks are wearing off–a combination of trends that is making the
continent not only more resilient in the face of change but also a model
for a future far more resistant to the shock doctrine.
When Milton Friedman died last year, the global quest for unfettered
capitalism he helped launch in Chile three decades earlier found itself
in disarray. The obituaries heaped praise on him, but many were imbued
with a sense of fear that Friedman’s death marked the end of an era. In
Canada’s National Post, Terence Corcoran, one of Friedman’s most devoted
disciples, wondered whether the global movement the economist had
inspired could carry on. “As the last great lion of free market
economics, Friedman leaves a void…. There is no one alive today of equal
stature. Will the principles Friedman fought for and articulated survive
over the long term without a new generation of solid, charismatic and
able intellectual leadership? Hard to say.”
It certainly seemed unlikely. Friedman’s intellectual heirs in the
United States–the think-tank neocons who used the crisis of September 11
to launch a booming economy in privatized warfare and “homeland
security”–were at the lowest point in their history. The movement’s
political pinnacle had been the Republicans’ takeover of the US Congress
in 1994; just nine days before Friedman’s death, they lost it again to a
Democratic majority. The three key issues that contributed to the
Republican defeat in the 2006 midterm elections were political
corruption, the mismanagement of the Iraq War and the perception, best
articulated by Jim Webb, a winning Democratic candidate for the US
Senate, that the country had drifted “toward a class-based system, the
likes of which we have not seen since the nineteenth century.”
Nowhere, however, was the economic project in deeper crisis than where
it had started: Latin America. Washington has always regarded democratic
socialism as a greater challenge than totalitarian Communism, which was
easy to vilify and made for a handy enemy. In the 1960s and ’70s, the
favored tactic for dealing with the inconvenient popularity of economic
nationalism and democratic socialism was to try to equate them with
Stalinism, deliberately blurring the clear differences between the
worldviews. A stark example of this strategy comes from the early days
of the Chicago crusade, deep inside the declassified Chile documents.
Despite the CIA-funded propaganda campaign painting Allende as a
Soviet-style dictator, Washington’s real concerns about the Allende
victory were relayed by Henry Kissinger in a 1970 memo to Nixon: “The
example of a successful elected Marxist government in Chile would surely
have an impact on–and even precedent value for–other parts of the world,
especially in Italy; the imitative spread of similar phenomena elsewhere
would in turn significantly affect the world balance and our own
position in it.” In other words, Allende needed to be taken out before
his democratic third way spread.
But the dream Allende represented was never defeated. It was temporarily
silenced, pushed under the surface by fear. Which is why, as Latin
America now emerges from its decades of shock, the old ideas are
bubbling back up–along with the “imitative spread” Kissinger so feared.
By 2001 the shift had become impossible to ignore. In the mid-’70s,
Argentina’s legendary investigative journalist Rodolfo Walsh had
regarded the ascendancy of Chicago School economics under junta rule as
a setback, not a lasting defeat, for the left. The terror tactics used
by the military had put his country into a state of shock, but Walsh
knew that shock, by its very nature, is a temporary state. Before he was
gunned down by Argentine security agents on the streets of Buenos Aires
in 1977, Walsh estimated that it would take twenty to thirty years until
the effects of the terror receded and Argentines regained their footing,
courage and confidence, ready once again to fight for economic and
social equality. It was in 2001, twenty-four years later, that Argentina
erupted in protest against IMF-prescribed austerity measures and then
proceeded to force out five presidents in only three weeks.
“The dictatorship just ended!” people declared at the time. They meant
that it had taken seventeen years of democracy for the legacy of terror
to fade–just as Walsh had predicted.
In the years since, that renewed courage has spread to other former
shock labs in the region. And as people shed the collective fear that
was first instilled with tanks and cattle prods, with sudden flights of
capital and brutal cutbacks, many are demanding more democracy and more
control over markets. These demands represent the greatest threat to
Friedman’s legacy because they challenge his central claim: that
capitalism and freedom are part of the same indivisible project.
The staunchest opponents of neoliberal economics in Latin America have
been winning election after election. Venezuelan president Hugo Chávez,
running on a platform of “Twenty-First-Century Socialism,” was
re-elected in 2006 for a third term with 63 percent of the vote. Despite
attempts by the Bush Administration to paint Venezuela as a
pseudo-democracy, a poll that year found 57 percent of Venezuelans happy
with the state of their democracy, an approval rating on the continent
second only to Uruguay’s, where the left-wing coalition party Frente
Amplio had been elected to government and where a series of referendums
had blocked major privatizations. In other words, in the two Latin
American states where voting had resulted in real challenges to the
Washington Consensus, citizens had renewed their faith in the power of
democracy to improve their lives.
Ever since the Argentine collapse in 2001, opposition to privatization
has become the defining issue of the continent, able to make governments
and break them; by late 2006, it was practically creating a domino
effect. Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva was re-elected as president of Brazil
largely because he turned the vote into a referendum on privatization.
His opponent, from the party responsible for Brazil’s major sell-offs in
the ’90s, resorted to dressing up like a socialist NASCAR driver,
wearing a jacket and baseball hat covered in logos from the public
companies that had not yet been sold. Voters weren’t persuaded, and Lula
got 61 percent of the vote. Shortly afterward in Nicaragua, Daniel
Ortega, former head of the Sandinistas, made the country’s frequent
blackouts the center of his winning campaign; the sale of the national
electricity company to the Spanish firm Unión Fenosa after Hurricane
Mitch, he asserted, was the source of the problem. “Who brought Unión
Fenosa to this country?” he bellowed. “The government of the rich did,
those who are in the service of barbarian capitalism.”
In November 2006, Ecuador’s presidential elections turned into a similar
ideological battleground. Rafael Correa, a 43-year-old left-wing
economist, won the vote against Álvaro Noboa, a banana tycoon and one of
the richest men in the country. With Twisted Sister’s “We’re Not Gonna
Take It” as his official campaign song, Correa called for the country
“to overcome all the fallacies of neoliberalism.” When he won, the new
president of Ecuador declared himself “no fan of Milton Friedman.” By
then, Bolivian President Evo Morales was already approaching the end of
his first year in office. After sending in the army to take back the gas
fields from “plunder” by multinationals, he moved on to nationalize
parts of the mining sector. That year in Chile, under the leadership of
President Michelle Bachelet–who had been a prisoner under Pinochet–high
school students staged a wave of militant protests against the
two-tiered educational system introduced by the Chicago Boys. The
country’s copper miners soon followed with strikes of their own.
In December 2006, a month after Friedman’s death, Latin America’s
leaders gathered for a historic summit in Bolivia, held in the city of
Cochabamba, where a popular uprising against water privatization had
forced Bechtel out of the country several years earlier. Morales began
the proceedings with a vow to close “the open veins of Latin America.”
It was a reference to Eduardo Galeano’s book Open Veins of Latin
America: Five Centuries of the Pillage of a Continent, a lyrical
accounting of the violent plunder that had turned a rich continent into
a poor one. The book was published in 1971, two years before Allende was
overthrown for daring to try to close those open veins by nationalizing
his country’s copper mines. That event ushered in a new era of furious
pillage, during which the structures built by the continent’s
developmentalist movements were sacked, stripped and sold off.
Today Latin Americans are picking up the project that was so brutally
interrupted all those years ago. Many of the policies cropping up are
familiar: nationalization of key sectors of the economy, land reform,
major investments in education, literacy and healthcare. These are not
revolutionary ideas, but in their unapologetic vision of a government
that helps reach for equality, they are certainly a rebuke to Friedman’s
1975 assertion in a letter to Pinochet that “the major error, in my
opinion, was…to believe that it is possible to do good with other
people’s money.”
Though clearly drawing on a long rebellious history, Latin America’s
contemporary movements are not direct replicas of their predecessors. Of
all the differences, the most striking is an acute awareness of the need
for protection from the shocks that worked in the past–the coups, the
foreign shock therapists, the US-trained torturers, as well as the debt
shocks and currency collapses. Latin America’s mass movements, which
have powered the wave of election victories for left-wing candidates,
are learning how to build shock absorbers into their organizing models.
They are, for example, less centralized than in the ’60s, making it
harder to demobilize whole movements by eliminating a few leaders.
Despite the overwhelming cult of personality surrounding Chávez, and his
controversial moves to centralize power at the state level, the
progressive networks in Venezuela are at the same time highly
decentralized, with power dispersed at the grassroots and community
levels, through thousands of neighborhood councils and co-ops. In
Bolivia, the indigenous people’s movements that put Morales in office
function similarly and have made it clear that Morales does not have
their unconditional support: the barrios will back him as long as he
stays true to his democratic mandate, and not a moment longer. This kind
of network approach is what allowed Chávez to survive the 2002 coup
attempt: when their revolution was threatened, his supporters poured
down from the shantytowns surrounding Caracas to demand his
reinstatement, a kind of popular mobilization that did not happen during
the coups of the ’70s.
Latin America’s new leaders are also taking bold measures to block any
future US-backed coups that could attempt to undermine their democratic
victories. Chávez has let it be known that if an extremist right-wing
element in Bolivia’s Santa Cruz province makes good on its threats
against Morales’s government, Venezuelan troops will help defend
Bolivia’s democracy. Meanwhile, the governments of Venezuela, Costa
Rica, Argentina, Uruguay and Bolivia have all announced that they will
no longer send students to the School of the Americas (now called the
Western Hemisphere Institute for Security Cooperation)–the infamous
police and military training center in Fort Benning, Georgia, where so
many of the continent’s notorious killers learned the latest in
“counterterrorism” techniques, then promptly directed them against
farmers in El Salvador and auto workers in Argentina. Ecuador, in
addition to closing the US military base, also looks set to cut its ties
with the school. It’s hard to overstate the importance of these
developments. If the US military loses its bases and training programs,
its power to inflict shocks on the continent will be greatly eroded.
The new leaders in Latin America are also becoming better prepared for
the kinds of shocks produced by volatile markets. One of the most
destabilizing forces of recent decades has been the speed with which
capital can pick up and move, or how a sudden drop in commodity prices
can devastate an entire agricultural sector. But in much of Latin
America these shocks have already happened, leaving behind ghostly
industrial suburbs and huge stretches of fallow farmland. The task of
the region’s new left, therefore, has become a matter of taking the
detritus of globalization and putting it back to work. In Brazil, the
phenomenon is best seen in the million and a half farmers of the
Landless Peoples Movement (MST), who have formed hundreds of
cooperatives to reclaim unused land. In Argentina, it is clearest in the
movement of “recovered companies,” 200 bankrupt businesses that have
been resuscitated by their workers, who have turned them into
democratically run cooperatives. For the cooperatives, there is no fear
of facing an economic shock of investors leaving, because the investors
have already left.
Chávez has made the cooperatives in Venezuela a top political priority,
giving them first refusal on government contracts and offering them
economic incentives to trade with one another. By 2006 there were
roughly 100,000 cooperatives in the country, employing more than 700,000
workers. Many are pieces of state infrastructure–toll booths, highway
maintenance, health clinics–handed over to the communities to run. It’s
a reverse of the logic of government outsourcing: rather than auctioning
off pieces of the state to large corporations and losing democratic
control, the people who use the resources are given the power to manage
them, creating, at least in theory, both jobs and more responsive public
services. Chávez’s many critics have derided these initiatives as
handouts and unfair subsidies, of course. Yet in an era when Halliburton
treats the US government as its personal ATM for six years, withdraws
upward of $20 billion in Iraq contracts alone, refuses to hire local
workers either on the Gulf Coast or in Iraq, then expresses its
gratitude to US taxpayers by moving its corporate headquarters to Dubai
(with all the attendant tax and legal benefits), Chávez’s direct
subsidies to regular people look significantly less radical.
Latin America’s most significant protection from future shocks (and
therefore from the shock doctrine) flows from the continent’s emerging
independence from Washington’s financial institutions, the result of
greater integration among regional governments. The Bolivian Alternative
for the Americas (ALBA) is the continent’s retort to the Free Trade Area
of the Americas, the now-buried corporatist dream of a free-trade zone
stretching from Alaska to Tierra del Fuego. Though ALBA is still in its
early stages, Emir Sader, a Brazil-based sociologist, describes its
promise as “a perfect example of genuinely fair trade: each country
provides what it is best placed to produce, in return for what it most
needs, independent of global market prices.” So Bolivia provides gas at
stable discounted prices; Venezuela offers heavily subsidized oil to
poorer countries and shares expertise in developing reserves; and Cuba
sends thousands of doctors to deliver free healthcare all over the
continent, while training students from other countries at its medical
schools.
This is a very different model from the kind of academic exchange that
began at the University of Chicago in the mid-’50s, when hundreds of
Latin American students learned a single rigid ideology and were sent
home to impose it with uniformity across the continent. The major
benefit is that ALBA is essentially a barter system in which countries
decide for themselves what any given commodity or service is worth
rather than letting traders in New York, Chicago or London set the
prices for them. That makes trade less vulnerable to the kind of sudden
price fluctuations that have hurt Latin American economies before.
Surrounded by turbulent financial waters, Latin America is creating a
zone of relative economic calm and predictability, a feat presumed
impossible in the globalization era.
When one country does face a financial shortfall, this increased
integration means that it does not necessarily need to turn to the IMF
or the US Treasury for a bailout. That’s fortunate because the 2006 US
National Security Strategy makes it clear that for Washington, the shock
doctrine is still very much alive: “If crises occur, the IMF’s response
must reinforce each country’s responsibility for its own economic
choices,” the document states. “A refocused IMF will strengthen market
institutions and market discipline over financial decisions.” This kind
of “market discipline” can only be enforced if governments actually go
to Washington for help. As former IMF deputy managing director Stanley
Fischer explained during the Asian financial crisis, the lender can help
only if it is asked, “but when [a country is] out of money, it hasn’t
got many places to turn.” That is no longer the case. Thanks to high oil
prices, Venezuela has emerged as a major lender to other developing
countries, allowing them to do an end run around Washington. Even more
significant, this December will mark the launch of a regional
alternative to the Washington financial institutions, a “Bank of the
South” that will make loans to member countries and promote economic
integration among them.
Now that they can turn elsewhere for help, governments throughout the
region are shunning the IMF, with dramatic consequences. Brazil, so long
shackled to Washington by its enormous debt, is refusing to enter into a
new agreement with the fund. Venezuela is considering withdrawing from
the IMF and the World Bank, and even Argentina, Washington’s former
“model pupil,” has been part of the trend. In his 2007 State of the
Union address, President Néstor Kirchner (since succeeded by his wife,
Christina) said that the country’s foreign creditors had told him, “‘You
must have an agreement with the International Fund to be able to pay the
debt.’ We say to them, ‘Sirs, we are sovereign. We want to pay the debt,
but no way in hell are we going to make an agreement again with the
IMF.’” As a result, the IMF, supremely powerful in the 1980s and ’90s,
is no longer a force on the continent. In 2005 Latin America made up 80
percent of the IMF’s total lending portfolio; the continent now
represents just 1 percent–a sea change in only two years.
The transformation reaches beyond Latin America. In just three years,
the IMF’s worldwide lending portfolio had shrunk from $81 billion to
$11.8 billion, with almost all of that going to Turkey. The IMF, a
pariah in countries where it has treated crises as profit-making
opportunities, is withering away.
The World Bank faces an equally precarious future. In April Correa
revealed that he had suspended all loans from the Bank and declared the
institution’s representative in Ecuador persona non grata–an
extraordinary step. Two years earlier, Correa explained, the World Bank
had used a $100 million loan to defeat economic legislation that would
have redistributed oil revenues to the country’s poor. “Ecuador is a
sovereign country, and we will not stand for extortion from this
international bureaucracy,” he said. Meanwhile, Evo Morales announced
that Bolivia would quit the World Bank’s arbitration court, the body
that allows multinational corporations to sue national governments for
measures that cost them profits. “The governments of Latin America, and
I think the world, never win the cases. The multinationals always win,”
Morales said.
When Paul Wolfowitz was forced to resign as president of the World Bank
in May, it was clear that the institution needed to take desperate
measures to rescue itself from its profound crisis of credibility. In
the midst of the Wolfowitz affair, the Financial Times reported that
when World Bank managers dispensed advice in the developing world, “they
were now laughed at.” Add the collapse of the World Trade Organization
talks in 2006 (prompting declarations that “globalization is dead”), and
it appears that the three main institutions responsible for imposing the
Chicago School ideology under the guise of economic inevitability are at
risk of extinction.
It stands to reason that the revolt against neoliberalism would be in
its most advanced stage in Latin America. As inhabitants of the first
shock lab, Latin Americans have had the most time to recover their
bearings, to understand how shock politics work. This understanding is
crucial for a new politics adapted to our shocking times. Any strategy
based on exploiting the window of opportunity opened by a traumatic
shock– the central tenet of the shock doctrine–relies heavily on the
element of surprise. A state of shock is, by definition, a moment when
there is a gap between fast-moving events and the information that
exists to explain them. Yet as soon as we have a new narrative that
offers a perspective on the shocking events, we become reoriented and
the world begins to make sense again.
Once the mechanics of the shock doctrine are deeply and collectively
understood, whole communities become harder to take by surprise, more
difficult to confuse–shock-resistant.
www.venezuelanalysis.com
Naomi Klein is the author of many books, including her most recent, The
Shock Doctrine: The Rise of Disaster Capitalism. Visit Naomi’s website
at nologo.org.
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